Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature of 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. These conditions, combined with light winds and expected rainfall, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below reflect trader emphasis on model spread and possible shifts in steering patterns or a stronger cold advection signal, while the clustering around 13–15°C aligns with baseline late-August climatology for the region. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles will refine the overnight low as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 30?
11°C or below 60%
21°C or higher 48%
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
11°C or below
60%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
48%
11°C or below 60%
21°C or higher 48%
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
11°C or below
60%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature of 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. These conditions, combined with light winds and expected rainfall, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below reflect trader emphasis on model spread and possible shifts in steering patterns or a stronger cold advection signal, while the clustering around 13–15°C aligns with baseline late-August climatology for the region. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles will refine the overnight low as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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