Latest official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting European models indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Helsinki on August 29, driven by persistent southerly flow of mild maritime air, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points holding in the mid-teens. This setup contrasts with the historical late-August average low of about 12°C, keeping probabilities clustered around 11–14°C as traders weigh minor model spreads on exact overnight timing and urban heat-island effects. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions are expected to push values lower, while the market’s tight distribution around these thresholds reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 29?
20°C or higher 50%
16°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
10°C or below
3%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
50%
20°C or higher 50%
16°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
10°C or below
3%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting European models indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Helsinki on August 29, driven by persistent southerly flow of mild maritime air, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points holding in the mid-teens. This setup contrasts with the historical late-August average low of about 12°C, keeping probabilities clustered around 11–14°C as traders weigh minor model spreads on exact overnight timing and urban heat-island effects. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions are expected to push values lower, while the market’s tight distribution around these thresholds reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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