Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs and agency guidance, indicate a high-pressure system will deliver clear to mostly sunny conditions over Madrid on August 28, 2026, with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup follows cooler, cloudier weather on the 27th that introduced a fresher air mass, keeping maximum temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 30.6°C. Ensemble guidance clusters around 25–27°C, aligning with trader emphasis on 27°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26°C (34.0%), while lower odds for 28°C or higher reflect limited warming potential under the current synoptic pattern. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
27°C 45%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
35%
27°C
45%
28°C
17%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$247 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$363 Vol.
1%
25°C
$690 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,440 Vol.
35%
27°C
$2,084 Vol.
45%
28°C
$1,042 Vol.
17%
29°C
$389 Vol.
3%
30°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs and agency guidance, indicate a high-pressure system will deliver clear to mostly sunny conditions over Madrid on August 28, 2026, with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup follows cooler, cloudier weather on the 27th that introduced a fresher air mass, keeping maximum temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 30.6°C. Ensemble guidance clusters around 25–27°C, aligning with trader emphasis on 27°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26°C (34.0%), while lower odds for 28°C or higher reflect limited warming potential under the current synoptic pattern. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,574Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs and agency guidance, indicate a high-pressure system will deliver clear to mostly sunny conditions over Madrid on August 28, 2026, with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup follows cooler, cloudier weather on the 27th that introduced a fresher air mass, keeping maximum temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 30.6°C. Ensemble guidance clusters around 25–27°C, aligning with trader emphasis on 27°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26°C (34.0%), while lower odds for 28°C or higher reflect limited warming potential under the current synoptic pattern. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,574Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs and agency guidance, indicate a high-pressure system will deliver clear to mostly sunny conditions over Madrid on August 28, 2026, with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup follows cooler, cloudier weather on the 27th that introduced a fresher air mass, keeping maximum temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 30.6°C. Ensemble guidance clusters around 25–27°C, aligning with trader emphasis on 27°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26°C (34.0%), while lower odds for 28°C or higher reflect limited warming potential under the current synoptic pattern. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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