Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to Miami's overnight minimum on August 28 settling in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 78–81 °F. Persistent high dew points near 76–77 °F suppress radiative cooling after sunset, while light easterly flow and scattered cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms further limit overnight temperature drops. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average lows reach about 77.5 °F but recent days have trended slightly warmer amid elevated heat indices. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for further cooling against the risk of slightly higher readings if cloud cover thins or winds remain light, producing the balanced probabilities between the two leading bins. Updated evening observations and final NWS verification will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on August 28?
76-77°F 4%
74-75°F 2%
72-73°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 4%
74-75°F 2%
72-73°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to Miami's overnight minimum on August 28 settling in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 78–81 °F. Persistent high dew points near 76–77 °F suppress radiative cooling after sunset, while light easterly flow and scattered cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms further limit overnight temperature drops. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average lows reach about 77.5 °F but recent days have trended slightly warmer amid elevated heat indices. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for further cooling against the risk of slightly higher readings if cloud cover thins or winds remain light, producing the balanced probabilities between the two leading bins. Updated evening observations and final NWS verification will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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