Recent northerly wind shifts and moderating atmospheric conditions have centered trader expectations for Qingdao’s August 30 maximum near 27–29 °C. Multiple numerical guidance suites show highs of 28–29 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers, limiting surface heating while coastal marine influence keeps values from climbing further. The 34 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects this consensus, tempered by residual model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could shave one degree or allow a brief 30 °C spike. Historical late-August baselines for the region (around 28 °C) provide additional context for the narrow distribution and elevated uncertainty across the 26–30 °C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
28°C 34%
27°C 22%
29°C 22%
26°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
22%
28°C
34%
29°C
22%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
27°C 22%
29°C 22%
26°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$56 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$117 Vol.
1%
26°C
$391 Vol.
8%
27°C
$49 Vol.
22%
28°C
$25 Vol.
34%
29°C
$159 Vol.
22%
30°C
$70 Vol.
7%
31°C
$82 Vol.
4%
32°C
$91 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind shifts and moderating atmospheric conditions have centered trader expectations for Qingdao’s August 30 maximum near 27–29 °C. Multiple numerical guidance suites show highs of 28–29 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers, limiting surface heating while coastal marine influence keeps values from climbing further. The 34 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects this consensus, tempered by residual model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could shave one degree or allow a brief 30 °C spike. Historical late-August baselines for the region (around 28 °C) provide additional context for the narrow distribution and elevated uncertainty across the 26–30 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,045Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind shifts and moderating atmospheric conditions have centered trader expectations for Qingdao’s August 30 maximum near 27–29 °C. Multiple numerical guidance suites show highs of 28–29 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers, limiting surface heating while coastal marine influence keeps values from climbing further. The 34 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects this consensus, tempered by residual model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could shave one degree or allow a brief 30 °C spike. Historical late-August baselines for the region (around 28 °C) provide additional context for the narrow distribution and elevated uncertainty across the 26–30 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,045Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly wind shifts and moderating atmospheric conditions have centered trader expectations for Qingdao’s August 30 maximum near 27–29 °C. Multiple numerical guidance suites show highs of 28–29 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers, limiting surface heating while coastal marine influence keeps values from climbing further. The 34 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects this consensus, tempered by residual model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could shave one degree or allow a brief 30 °C spike. Historical late-August baselines for the region (around 28 °C) provide additional context for the narrow distribution and elevated uncertainty across the 26–30 °C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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