**Northerly winds shifting Qingdao into cooler, drier continental air have positioned the overnight low near 21–22 °C as the market consensus.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including Yr.no and Met Office) show daytime highs around 28–30 °C giving way to minimums of 22–25 °C under increasing northerly flow, replacing the lingering subtropical high that kept recent nights warmer. This pattern, noted in late-August advisories, promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight while the adjacent Yellow Sea continues to moderate extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22 °C (50 %) and 21 °C (32 %), consistent with the observed cooling trend and typical late-summer maritime climatology for the region; probabilities for 20 °C or below remain low (2 %) absent stronger cold advection or clearer conditions than currently modeled. Hourly observations and updated CMA guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
32%
22°C
50%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
$68 Vol.
2%
21°C
$97 Vol.
32%
22°C
$83 Vol.
50%
23°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds shifting Qingdao into cooler, drier continental air have positioned the overnight low near 21–22 °C as the market consensus.**
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including Yr.no and Met Office) show daytime highs around 28–30 °C giving way to minimums of 22–25 °C under increasing northerly flow, replacing the lingering subtropical high that kept recent nights warmer. This pattern, noted in late-August advisories, promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight while the adjacent Yellow Sea continues to moderate extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22 °C (50 %) and 21 °C (32 %), consistent with the observed cooling trend and typical late-summer maritime climatology for the region; probabilities for 20 °C or below remain low (2 %) absent stronger cold advection or clearer conditions than currently modeled. Hourly observations and updated CMA guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$968Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds shifting Qingdao into cooler, drier continental air have positioned the overnight low near 21–22 °C as the market consensus.**
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including Yr.no and Met Office) show daytime highs around 28–30 °C giving way to minimums of 22–25 °C under increasing northerly flow, replacing the lingering subtropical high that kept recent nights warmer. This pattern, noted in late-August advisories, promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight while the adjacent Yellow Sea continues to moderate extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22 °C (50 %) and 21 °C (32 %), consistent with the observed cooling trend and typical late-summer maritime climatology for the region; probabilities for 20 °C or below remain low (2 %) absent stronger cold advection or clearer conditions than currently modeled. Hourly observations and updated CMA guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$968Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northerly winds shifting Qingdao into cooler, drier continental air have positioned the overnight low near 21–22 °C as the market consensus.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including Yr.no and Met Office) show daytime highs around 28–30 °C giving way to minimums of 22–25 °C under increasing northerly flow, replacing the lingering subtropical high that kept recent nights warmer. This pattern, noted in late-August advisories, promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight while the adjacent Yellow Sea continues to moderate extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22 °C (50 %) and 21 °C (32 %), consistent with the observed cooling trend and typical late-summer maritime climatology for the region; probabilities for 20 °C or below remain low (2 %) absent stronger cold advection or clearer conditions than currently modeled. Hourly observations and updated CMA guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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