Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate a high near 24–26°C for Toronto on August 30, tempered by increasing cloud cover, a 30% chance of showers, and southwesterly flow that limits afternoon solar heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24°C, as traders weigh the potential for modest cooling against climatological normals near 24°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of any showers, which could further cap the maximum, alongside model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and weak steering patterns. Updated runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
23°C 27%
24°C 25%
22°C 17%
25°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 27%
24°C 25%
22°C 17%
25°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate a high near 24–26°C for Toronto on August 30, tempered by increasing cloud cover, a 30% chance of showers, and southwesterly flow that limits afternoon solar heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24°C, as traders weigh the potential for modest cooling against climatological normals near 24°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of any showers, which could further cap the maximum, alongside model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and weak steering patterns. Updated runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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