National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 30 point to a high near 66°F under partly cloudy skies with persistent marine layer influence and moderate southwest winds, consistent with the cooling trend from an upper-level trough keeping temperatures 10–15 degrees below seasonal norms. This setup favors the 66–69°F range in trader consensus, as onshore flow from the Pacific typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-60s despite occasional warmer inland readings near SFO. Recent model runs show limited variability, with the 68–69°F bin holding the highest implied probability due to minor afternoon warming potential before evening marine push. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, but current conditions reduce odds of exceeding 71°F.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$115 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$41 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$179 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$286 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$386 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$922 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$406 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$103 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$25 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 30 point to a high near 66°F under partly cloudy skies with persistent marine layer influence and moderate southwest winds, consistent with the cooling trend from an upper-level trough keeping temperatures 10–15 degrees below seasonal norms. This setup favors the 66–69°F range in trader consensus, as onshore flow from the Pacific typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-60s despite occasional warmer inland readings near SFO. Recent model runs show limited variability, with the 68–69°F bin holding the highest implied probability due to minor afternoon warming potential before evening marine push. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, but current conditions reduce odds of exceeding 71°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,007Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 30 point to a high near 66°F under partly cloudy skies with persistent marine layer influence and moderate southwest winds, consistent with the cooling trend from an upper-level trough keeping temperatures 10–15 degrees below seasonal norms. This setup favors the 66–69°F range in trader consensus, as onshore flow from the Pacific typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-60s despite occasional warmer inland readings near SFO. Recent model runs show limited variability, with the 68–69°F bin holding the highest implied probability due to minor afternoon warming potential before evening marine push. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, but current conditions reduce odds of exceeding 71°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,007Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 30 point to a high near 66°F under partly cloudy skies with persistent marine layer influence and moderate southwest winds, consistent with the cooling trend from an upper-level trough keeping temperatures 10–15 degrees below seasonal norms. This setup favors the 66–69°F range in trader consensus, as onshore flow from the Pacific typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-60s despite occasional warmer inland readings near SFO. Recent model runs show limited variability, with the 68–69°F bin holding the highest implied probability due to minor afternoon warming potential before evening marine push. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, but current conditions reduce odds of exceeding 71°F.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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