Recent ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate stable high pressure and light easterly flow over Buenos Aires on August 29, favoring a modest diurnal rise with peak temperatures likely between 16–17 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 20 °C versus 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island contributions at official stations, and minor differences among model runs regarding insolation and low-level moisture. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, yet current cooler anomalies tied to recent frontal passages have kept consensus lower, leaving room for small forecast adjustments to shift resolution between these two outcomes ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
20°C 40%
21°C 38%
19°C 17%
22°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
17%
20°C
40%
21°C
38%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 40%
21°C 38%
19°C 17%
22°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$592 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$461 Vol.
2%
17°C
$114 Vol.
2%
18°C
$518 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,156 Vol.
17%
20°C
$1,508 Vol.
40%
21°C
$2,198 Vol.
38%
22°C
$329 Vol.
6%
23°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$229 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate stable high pressure and light easterly flow over Buenos Aires on August 29, favoring a modest diurnal rise with peak temperatures likely between 16–17 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 20 °C versus 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island contributions at official stations, and minor differences among model runs regarding insolation and low-level moisture. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, yet current cooler anomalies tied to recent frontal passages have kept consensus lower, leaving room for small forecast adjustments to shift resolution between these two outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$7,730Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate stable high pressure and light easterly flow over Buenos Aires on August 29, favoring a modest diurnal rise with peak temperatures likely between 16–17 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 20 °C versus 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island contributions at official stations, and minor differences among model runs regarding insolation and low-level moisture. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, yet current cooler anomalies tied to recent frontal passages have kept consensus lower, leaving room for small forecast adjustments to shift resolution between these two outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,730Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate stable high pressure and light easterly flow over Buenos Aires on August 29, favoring a modest diurnal rise with peak temperatures likely between 16–17 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 20 °C versus 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island contributions at official stations, and minor differences among model runs regarding insolation and low-level moisture. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, yet current cooler anomalies tied to recent frontal passages have kept consensus lower, leaving room for small forecast adjustments to shift resolution between these two outcomes ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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