**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project sunny skies and a high near 95–96°F, with only a slight afternoon storm chance.** This consensus from the latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance, supported by consistent model runs showing light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s tight clustering around the 94–97°F outcomes at roughly 75% combined implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points are sustaining heat indices near 105°F, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of ~92°F. Minor forecast spreads arise mainly from possible timing or coverage of isolated convection, which could shave a degree or two off the peak if clouds build earlier than expected. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the official deterministic guidance and ensemble agreement heavily.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 30?
96-97°F 40%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 14%
92-93°F 10%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
3%
102°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 40%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 14%
92-93°F 10%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
3%
102°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project sunny skies and a high near 95–96°F, with only a slight afternoon storm chance.** This consensus from the latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance, supported by consistent model runs showing light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s tight clustering around the 94–97°F outcomes at roughly 75% combined implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points are sustaining heat indices near 105°F, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of ~92°F. Minor forecast spreads arise mainly from possible timing or coverage of isolated convection, which could shave a degree or two off the peak if clouds build earlier than expected. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the official deterministic guidance and ensemble agreement heavily.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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