A hot air mass driving a heat wave across São Paulo state has positioned 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for the city’s August 28 maximum, with forecasts from multiple agencies converging on 30–34°C under sunny skies and low humidity. This anomaly exceeds typical August highs of 22–25°C, fueled by clear conditions maximizing solar insolation and minimal moisture limiting evaporative cooling. Recent model runs and the civil defense alert issued August 27 highlight peak warming on the 28th before cooler, wetter air arrives early September. Traders’ 52.5% implied probability on 32°C reflects consensus around these official projections, with resolution hinging on the day’s verified peak from meteorological stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 28?
32°C 53%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
BARU
$13,187 Vol.
BARU
$13,187 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
53%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
3%
32°C 53%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
BARU
$13,187 Vol.
BARU
$13,187 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
24°C or below
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,734 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$692 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,055 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$202 Vol.
1%
29°C
$405 Vol.
1%
30°C
$653 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,705 Vol.
22%
32°C
$1,605 Vol.
53%
33°C
$2,112 Vol.
19%
34°C or higher
$567 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A hot air mass driving a heat wave across São Paulo state has positioned 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for the city’s August 28 maximum, with forecasts from multiple agencies converging on 30–34°C under sunny skies and low humidity. This anomaly exceeds typical August highs of 22–25°C, fueled by clear conditions maximizing solar insolation and minimal moisture limiting evaporative cooling. Recent model runs and the civil defense alert issued August 27 highlight peak warming on the 28th before cooler, wetter air arrives early September. Traders’ 52.5% implied probability on 32°C reflects consensus around these official projections, with resolution hinging on the day’s verified peak from meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$13,187Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A hot air mass driving a heat wave across São Paulo state has positioned 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for the city’s August 28 maximum, with forecasts from multiple agencies converging on 30–34°C under sunny skies and low humidity. This anomaly exceeds typical August highs of 22–25°C, fueled by clear conditions maximizing solar insolation and minimal moisture limiting evaporative cooling. Recent model runs and the civil defense alert issued August 27 highlight peak warming on the 28th before cooler, wetter air arrives early September. Traders’ 52.5% implied probability on 32°C reflects consensus around these official projections, with resolution hinging on the day’s verified peak from meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,187Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A hot air mass driving a heat wave across São Paulo state has positioned 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for the city’s August 28 maximum, with forecasts from multiple agencies converging on 30–34°C under sunny skies and low humidity. This anomaly exceeds typical August highs of 22–25°C, fueled by clear conditions maximizing solar insolation and minimal moisture limiting evaporative cooling. Recent model runs and the civil defense alert issued August 27 highlight peak warming on the 28th before cooler, wetter air arrives early September. Traders’ 52.5% implied probability on 32°C reflects consensus around these official projections, with resolution hinging on the day’s verified peak from meteorological stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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