Recent official forecasts from MetService, NIWA-aligned sources, and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 27 August, driven by a strengthening southerly flow that turns northeasterly, combined with persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and scattered light showers. These conditions limit insolation while preventing strong nocturnal cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow around the seasonal August mean of roughly 12 °C. Latest model runs show minimal spread, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief warming toward 15 °C. Market pricing (14 °C leading at 54 % implied probability) therefore reflects the tight clustering of guidance around the 13–14 °C thresholds rather than any single extreme scenario.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 55%
13°C 25%
15°C 13%
12°C 4%
BARU
$16,810 Vol.
BARU
$16,810 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
25%
14°C
55%
15°C
13%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
13°C 25%
15°C 13%
12°C 4%
BARU
$16,810 Vol.
BARU
$16,810 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,255 Vol.
4%
13°C
$3,129 Vol.
25%
14°C
$3,921 Vol.
55%
15°C
$2,961 Vol.
13%
16°C
$757 Vol.
2%
17°C
$893 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService, NIWA-aligned sources, and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 27 August, driven by a strengthening southerly flow that turns northeasterly, combined with persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and scattered light showers. These conditions limit insolation while preventing strong nocturnal cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow around the seasonal August mean of roughly 12 °C. Latest model runs show minimal spread, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief warming toward 15 °C. Market pricing (14 °C leading at 54 % implied probability) therefore reflects the tight clustering of guidance around the 13–14 °C thresholds rather than any single extreme scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,810Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService, NIWA-aligned sources, and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 27 August, driven by a strengthening southerly flow that turns northeasterly, combined with persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and scattered light showers. These conditions limit insolation while preventing strong nocturnal cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow around the seasonal August mean of roughly 12 °C. Latest model runs show minimal spread, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief warming toward 15 °C. Market pricing (14 °C leading at 54 % implied probability) therefore reflects the tight clustering of guidance around the 13–14 °C thresholds rather than any single extreme scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,810Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService, NIWA-aligned sources, and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 27 August, driven by a strengthening southerly flow that turns northeasterly, combined with persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and scattered light showers. These conditions limit insolation while preventing strong nocturnal cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow around the seasonal August mean of roughly 12 °C. Latest model runs show minimal spread, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief warming toward 15 °C. Market pricing (14 °C leading at 54 % implied probability) therefore reflects the tight clustering of guidance around the 13–14 °C thresholds rather than any single extreme scenario.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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