Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow over the Philippines is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila through August 28, suppressing peak insolation and daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures most likely in the 28–31 °C range under these conditions, with high humidity and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further limiting surface warming through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Model consensus remains tight on the monsoon regime, yet small differences in convective timing or brief breaks in cloud cover can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature bins. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 28?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 28?
23°C or below 100%
24°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
100%
23°C or below 100%
24°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$0 Vol.
100%
25°C
$0 Vol.
100%
26°C
$0 Vol.
100%
27°C
$0 Vol.
100%
28°C
$0 Vol.
100%
29°C
$0 Vol.
100%
30°C
$0 Vol.
100%
31°C
$0 Vol.
100%
32°C
$0 Vol.
100%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow over the Philippines is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila through August 28, suppressing peak insolation and daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures most likely in the 28–31 °C range under these conditions, with high humidity and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further limiting surface warming through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Model consensus remains tight on the monsoon regime, yet small differences in convective timing or brief breaks in cloud cover can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature bins. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow over the Philippines is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila through August 28, suppressing peak insolation and daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures most likely in the 28–31 °C range under these conditions, with high humidity and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further limiting surface warming through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Model consensus remains tight on the monsoon regime, yet small differences in convective timing or brief breaks in cloud cover can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature bins. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow over the Philippines is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila through August 28, suppressing peak insolation and daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures most likely in the 28–31 °C range under these conditions, with high humidity and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further limiting surface warming through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Model consensus remains tight on the monsoon regime, yet small differences in convective timing or brief breaks in cloud cover can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature bins. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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