Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
34°C 40%
35°C 30%
33°C 13%
36°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
6%
32°C
8%
33°C
17%
34°C
40%
35°C
30%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 40%
35°C 30%
33°C 13%
36°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C
$228 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5 Vol.
17%
34°C
$129 Vol.
40%
35°C
$38 Vol.
30%
36°C
$163 Vol.
11%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$573Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$573Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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