Official NWS forecasts project a Thursday high near 99°F under persistent high pressure and southwesterly flow, yet afternoon convective initiation from rising moisture and instability introduces uncertainty that caps realized maxima. Model consensus shows peak temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s absent widespread storms, but even modest cloud cover or outflow boundaries from early convection can suppress readings by 3–5°F through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. With leading market bins clustered at 94–97°F, traders appear to weight the elevated probability of afternoon thunderstorms—currently 30–40%—more heavily than the base thermodynamic support for 100°F+ readings. Updated NWS guidance and mesoscale model runs through midday Wednesday will clarify whether steering patterns favor isolated or organized convection capable of altering the daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 27?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 27?
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 29%
92-93°F 19%
98-99°F 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 29%
92-93°F 19%
98-99°F 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
89°F or below
$13 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$10 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$46 Vol.
19%
94-95°F
$212 Vol.
36%
96-97°F
$127 Vol.
29%
98-99°F
$2 Vol.
15%
100-101°F
$98 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$10 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
2%
108°F or higher
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts project a Thursday high near 99°F under persistent high pressure and southwesterly flow, yet afternoon convective initiation from rising moisture and instability introduces uncertainty that caps realized maxima. Model consensus shows peak temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s absent widespread storms, but even modest cloud cover or outflow boundaries from early convection can suppress readings by 3–5°F through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. With leading market bins clustered at 94–97°F, traders appear to weight the elevated probability of afternoon thunderstorms—currently 30–40%—more heavily than the base thermodynamic support for 100°F+ readings. Updated NWS guidance and mesoscale model runs through midday Wednesday will clarify whether steering patterns favor isolated or organized convection capable of altering the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$756Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts project a Thursday high near 99°F under persistent high pressure and southwesterly flow, yet afternoon convective initiation from rising moisture and instability introduces uncertainty that caps realized maxima. Model consensus shows peak temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s absent widespread storms, but even modest cloud cover or outflow boundaries from early convection can suppress readings by 3–5°F through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. With leading market bins clustered at 94–97°F, traders appear to weight the elevated probability of afternoon thunderstorms—currently 30–40%—more heavily than the base thermodynamic support for 100°F+ readings. Updated NWS guidance and mesoscale model runs through midday Wednesday will clarify whether steering patterns favor isolated or organized convection capable of altering the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$756Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts project a Thursday high near 99°F under persistent high pressure and southwesterly flow, yet afternoon convective initiation from rising moisture and instability introduces uncertainty that caps realized maxima. Model consensus shows peak temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s absent widespread storms, but even modest cloud cover or outflow boundaries from early convection can suppress readings by 3–5°F through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. With leading market bins clustered at 94–97°F, traders appear to weight the elevated probability of afternoon thunderstorms—currently 30–40%—more heavily than the base thermodynamic support for 100°F+ readings. Updated NWS guidance and mesoscale model runs through midday Wednesday will clarify whether steering patterns favor isolated or organized convection capable of altering the daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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