Recent forecast model consensus from sources including global numerical weather prediction runs points to an overnight low near 12–13 °C for Mexico City on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity during the peak of the rainy season that limits radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Historical August minima average 10–12 °C, with recent days showing similar values amid light showers and northerly flow; any clearer skies or drier air overnight could allow a dip toward 9–11 °C, while stronger mixing or additional rainfall would hold readings closer to 14–15 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow spread and inherent model spread for the precise minimum, with traders weighting the likelihood of the lowest reading falling in the 9–13 °C range ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
9°C or below 85%
19°C or higher 45%
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
9°C or below
85%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C or higher
45%
9°C or below 85%
19°C or higher 45%
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
9°C or below
$22 Vol.
85%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$22 Vol.
35%
18°C
$22 Vol.
35%
19°C or higher
$22 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including global numerical weather prediction runs points to an overnight low near 12–13 °C for Mexico City on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity during the peak of the rainy season that limits radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Historical August minima average 10–12 °C, with recent days showing similar values amid light showers and northerly flow; any clearer skies or drier air overnight could allow a dip toward 9–11 °C, while stronger mixing or additional rainfall would hold readings closer to 14–15 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow spread and inherent model spread for the precise minimum, with traders weighting the likelihood of the lowest reading falling in the 9–13 °C range ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$87Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including global numerical weather prediction runs points to an overnight low near 12–13 °C for Mexico City on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity during the peak of the rainy season that limits radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Historical August minima average 10–12 °C, with recent days showing similar values amid light showers and northerly flow; any clearer skies or drier air overnight could allow a dip toward 9–11 °C, while stronger mixing or additional rainfall would hold readings closer to 14–15 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow spread and inherent model spread for the precise minimum, with traders weighting the likelihood of the lowest reading falling in the 9–13 °C range ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including global numerical weather prediction runs points to an overnight low near 12–13 °C for Mexico City on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity during the peak of the rainy season that limits radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Historical August minima average 10–12 °C, with recent days showing similar values amid light showers and northerly flow; any clearer skies or drier air overnight could allow a dip toward 9–11 °C, while stronger mixing or additional rainfall would hold readings closer to 14–15 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow spread and inherent model spread for the precise minimum, with traders weighting the likelihood of the lowest reading falling in the 9–13 °C range ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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