Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin shows a daily minimum temperature on August 27 centered in the mid-70s, with consensus lows near 76–77°F amid partly cloudy skies, 40% afternoon storm chances, and light variable winds. Radiational cooling overnight will be modulated by residual cloud cover and humidity near 50–70%, limiting temperature drops compared to clearer conditions that favor stronger surface inversions. Slight model spread in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 72–79°F bins, while higher or lower extremes remain less probable given the persistent heat dome and lack of strong frontal passage. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.