**Trader consensus centers on 25–27°C for Panama City, Panama’s lowest temperature on August 27, with 26°C holding the highest implied probability at 46%.** This reflects model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts projecting overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical rainy-season conditions. High humidity, frequent convective showers, and the moderating influence of the surrounding Pacific and Caribbean waters limit nocturnal cooling, producing only modest diurnal ranges. Historical climatology shows August average lows around 24°C, with the coolest hour typically near dawn; current conditions lack strong cold-air advection or atypical pressure systems that would drive outliers. Recent model runs remain stable with no major forecast shifts, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 25–27°C band while assigning low odds to extremes below 22°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Panama City on August 27?
26°C 46%
25°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 24%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
22%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
46%
27°C
27%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
19%
26°C 46%
25°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 24%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
22%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
46%
27°C
27%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 25–27°C for Panama City, Panama’s lowest temperature on August 27, with 26°C holding the highest implied probability at 46%.** This reflects model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts projecting overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical rainy-season conditions. High humidity, frequent convective showers, and the moderating influence of the surrounding Pacific and Caribbean waters limit nocturnal cooling, producing only modest diurnal ranges. Historical climatology shows August average lows around 24°C, with the coolest hour typically near dawn; current conditions lack strong cold-air advection or atypical pressure systems that would drive outliers. Recent model runs remain stable with no major forecast shifts, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 25–27°C band while assigning low odds to extremes below 22°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan