Recent forecast guidance from European models places Munich's overnight low for August 26 near 13–15 °C, aligning with the climatological average of 13 °C and explaining the tight clustering around 12–13 °C outcomes. Substantial ensemble spread—driven by variable cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from recent showers—supports the notable 28.5 % implied probability on 8 °C or below, as enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies could push temperatures lower. Recent observations show a cooler-than-normal spell, including a 7.5 °C minimum on August 23, which sustains trader attention on downside risk despite the warming high-pressure trend expected to limit further drops. Updated DWD and ECMWF runs tonight will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
8°C or below 57%
12°C 32%
13°C 29%
18°C or higher 28.2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
57%
9°C
5%
10°C
10%
11°C
23%
12°C
32%
13°C
29%
14°C
24%
15°C
25%
16°C
7%
17°C
15%
18°C or higher
28%
8°C or below 57%
12°C 32%
13°C 29%
18°C or higher 28.2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
57%
9°C
$0 Vol.
5%
10°C
$14 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
32%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
24%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$70 Vol.
7%
17°C
$15 Vol.
15%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models places Munich's overnight low for August 26 near 13–15 °C, aligning with the climatological average of 13 °C and explaining the tight clustering around 12–13 °C outcomes. Substantial ensemble spread—driven by variable cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from recent showers—supports the notable 28.5 % implied probability on 8 °C or below, as enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies could push temperatures lower. Recent observations show a cooler-than-normal spell, including a 7.5 °C minimum on August 23, which sustains trader attention on downside risk despite the warming high-pressure trend expected to limit further drops. Updated DWD and ECMWF runs tonight will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$109Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models places Munich's overnight low for August 26 near 13–15 °C, aligning with the climatological average of 13 °C and explaining the tight clustering around 12–13 °C outcomes. Substantial ensemble spread—driven by variable cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from recent showers—supports the notable 28.5 % implied probability on 8 °C or below, as enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies could push temperatures lower. Recent observations show a cooler-than-normal spell, including a 7.5 °C minimum on August 23, which sustains trader attention on downside risk despite the warming high-pressure trend expected to limit further drops. Updated DWD and ECMWF runs tonight will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models places Munich's overnight low for August 26 near 13–15 °C, aligning with the climatological average of 13 °C and explaining the tight clustering around 12–13 °C outcomes. Substantial ensemble spread—driven by variable cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from recent showers—supports the notable 28.5 % implied probability on 8 °C or below, as enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies could push temperatures lower. Recent observations show a cooler-than-normal spell, including a 7.5 °C minimum on August 23, which sustains trader attention on downside risk despite the warming high-pressure trend expected to limit further drops. Updated DWD and ECMWF runs tonight will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan