Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover over Chongqing have cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, setting up conditions for potentially enhanced nighttime radiative cooling under clearing skies forecast for August 31. Official guidance and ensemble models show low temperatures clustering near 23–25°C, with lighter winds reducing turbulent mixing and allowing greater temperature drops in the Sichuan Basin’s topographic setting. Uncertainty in cloud persistence, exact wind shifts, and model spread on dew point recovery differentiates the closely matched market probabilities around 18–23°C versus higher outcomes, as any lingering moisture or increased mixing would limit the minimum. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 31?
18°C or below 83%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
25°C 47%
18°C or below
83%
19°C
38%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
27%
25°C
47%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
18°C or below 83%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
25°C 47%
18°C or below
83%
19°C
38%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
27%
25°C
47%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover over Chongqing have cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, setting up conditions for potentially enhanced nighttime radiative cooling under clearing skies forecast for August 31. Official guidance and ensemble models show low temperatures clustering near 23–25°C, with lighter winds reducing turbulent mixing and allowing greater temperature drops in the Sichuan Basin’s topographic setting. Uncertainty in cloud persistence, exact wind shifts, and model spread on dew point recovery differentiates the closely matched market probabilities around 18–23°C versus higher outcomes, as any lingering moisture or increased mixing would limit the minimum. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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