Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29, accompanied by extensive cloud cover and localized downpours exceeding 100 mm in western and central areas, has driven overnight cooling ahead of August 30. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models indicate nighttime temperatures falling to 21–24°C under lingering moisture and light winds, below the seasonal August average low near 26°C. This recent cooling, following peak highs above 37°C earlier in the month, underpins the market-implied 47% probability for 19°C or below as the daily minimum, while higher outcomes like 22–23°C reflect model consensus around 23°C. Clearer skies expected later on the 30th may limit further drops, with final station readings determining resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
19°C or below 47%
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
23°C 32%
19°C or below
47%
20°C
31%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
32%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 47%
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
23°C 32%
19°C or below
47%
20°C
31%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
32%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29, accompanied by extensive cloud cover and localized downpours exceeding 100 mm in western and central areas, has driven overnight cooling ahead of August 30. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models indicate nighttime temperatures falling to 21–24°C under lingering moisture and light winds, below the seasonal August average low near 26°C. This recent cooling, following peak highs above 37°C earlier in the month, underpins the market-implied 47% probability for 19°C or below as the daily minimum, while higher outcomes like 22–23°C reflect model consensus around 23°C. Clearer skies expected later on the 30th may limit further drops, with final station readings determining resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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