**Forecast consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and major models centers the overnight low for Tokyo on August 30 near 21°C, with limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and high humidity.** Recent developments include unsettled weather with showers and overcast skies through August 29–30, driven by a weak frontal influence or remnant moisture that maintains dew points near 19–21°C and suppresses temperature drops. Northerly flow at 3–5 m/s adds slight advection of cooler air while cloud cover (often 80–100%) limits nighttime heat loss. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 22–25°C, but current conditions favor a slightly cooler outcome. Trader sentiment splits closely between 21°C and 22°C because official station measurements (likely Tokyo or Haneda) can shift by 1°C depending on exact wind shifts, localized urban effects, or minor model updates before resolution. Light precipitation chances (20–40%) add minor uncertainty but are unlikely to alter the minimum substantially. Updated JMA guidance or evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
22°C 42%
21°C 36%
23°C 11%
20°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
36%
22°C
42%
23°C
11%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
21°C 36%
23°C 11%
20°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$80 Vol.
1%
19°C
$57 Vol.
5%
20°C
$87 Vol.
9%
21°C
$374 Vol.
36%
22°C
$972 Vol.
42%
23°C
$350 Vol.
11%
24°C
$129 Vol.
5%
25°C
$115 Vol.
2%
26°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and major models centers the overnight low for Tokyo on August 30 near 21°C, with limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and high humidity.**
Recent developments include unsettled weather with showers and overcast skies through August 29–30, driven by a weak frontal influence or remnant moisture that maintains dew points near 19–21°C and suppresses temperature drops. Northerly flow at 3–5 m/s adds slight advection of cooler air while cloud cover (often 80–100%) limits nighttime heat loss. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 22–25°C, but current conditions favor a slightly cooler outcome.
Trader sentiment splits closely between 21°C and 22°C because official station measurements (likely Tokyo or Haneda) can shift by 1°C depending on exact wind shifts, localized urban effects, or minor model updates before resolution. Light precipitation chances (20–40%) add minor uncertainty but are unlikely to alter the minimum substantially. Updated JMA guidance or evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,621Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and major models centers the overnight low for Tokyo on August 30 near 21°C, with limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and high humidity.**
Recent developments include unsettled weather with showers and overcast skies through August 29–30, driven by a weak frontal influence or remnant moisture that maintains dew points near 19–21°C and suppresses temperature drops. Northerly flow at 3–5 m/s adds slight advection of cooler air while cloud cover (often 80–100%) limits nighttime heat loss. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 22–25°C, but current conditions favor a slightly cooler outcome.
Trader sentiment splits closely between 21°C and 22°C because official station measurements (likely Tokyo or Haneda) can shift by 1°C depending on exact wind shifts, localized urban effects, or minor model updates before resolution. Light precipitation chances (20–40%) add minor uncertainty but are unlikely to alter the minimum substantially. Updated JMA guidance or evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,621Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and major models centers the overnight low for Tokyo on August 30 near 21°C, with limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and high humidity.** Recent developments include unsettled weather with showers and overcast skies through August 29–30, driven by a weak frontal influence or remnant moisture that maintains dew points near 19–21°C and suppresses temperature drops. Northerly flow at 3–5 m/s adds slight advection of cooler air while cloud cover (often 80–100%) limits nighttime heat loss. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 22–25°C, but current conditions favor a slightly cooler outcome. Trader sentiment splits closely between 21°C and 22°C because official station measurements (likely Tokyo or Haneda) can shift by 1°C depending on exact wind shifts, localized urban effects, or minor model updates before resolution. Light precipitation chances (20–40%) add minor uncertainty but are unlikely to alter the minimum substantially. Updated JMA guidance or evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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