Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 31 near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and a maritime air mass advected from the east are the dominant factors keeping temperatures from dropping further, while any partial clearing could allow brief radiative losses toward 23 °C. Recent heavy rainfall and cooler conditions on August 29 have left residual moisture that supports elevated dew points and restrains nighttime temperature falls relative to drier climatological norms. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 24 °C and 25 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on the precise timing of any cloud breaks and urban heat-island effects measured at official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
24°C 45%
25°C 39%
23°C 17%
26°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
17%
24°C
45%
25°C
39%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 39%
23°C 17%
26°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
2%
22°C
$20 Vol.
3%
23°C
$61 Vol.
17%
24°C
$125 Vol.
45%
25°C
$160 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 31 near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and a maritime air mass advected from the east are the dominant factors keeping temperatures from dropping further, while any partial clearing could allow brief radiative losses toward 23 °C. Recent heavy rainfall and cooler conditions on August 29 have left residual moisture that supports elevated dew points and restrains nighttime temperature falls relative to drier climatological norms. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 24 °C and 25 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on the precise timing of any cloud breaks and urban heat-island effects measured at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$407Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 31 near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and a maritime air mass advected from the east are the dominant factors keeping temperatures from dropping further, while any partial clearing could allow brief radiative losses toward 23 °C. Recent heavy rainfall and cooler conditions on August 29 have left residual moisture that supports elevated dew points and restrains nighttime temperature falls relative to drier climatological norms. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 24 °C and 25 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on the precise timing of any cloud breaks and urban heat-island effects measured at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$407Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 31 near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and a maritime air mass advected from the east are the dominant factors keeping temperatures from dropping further, while any partial clearing could allow brief radiative losses toward 23 °C. Recent heavy rainfall and cooler conditions on August 29 have left residual moisture that supports elevated dew points and restrains nighttime temperature falls relative to drier climatological norms. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 24 °C and 25 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on the precise timing of any cloud breaks and urban heat-island effects measured at official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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