Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate Austin overnight lows on August 30 will settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that limit radiative cooling. Historical August 30 averages near 72°F provide context, yet this season’s elevated baseline temperatures and dew points around 23–24°C reduce the likelihood of deeper drops below 74°F. Minor variations in wind mixing, exact minimum timing, or localized urban effects could shift the recorded low across adjacent bins, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 68–77°F as models show limited divergence ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 30?
67°F or below 49%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
68-69°F 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
67°F or below
49%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
4%
67°F or below 49%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
68-69°F 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
67°F or below
$25 Vol.
49%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$6 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$37 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$24 Vol.
8%
86°F or higher
$15 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate Austin overnight lows on August 30 will settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that limit radiative cooling. Historical August 30 averages near 72°F provide context, yet this season’s elevated baseline temperatures and dew points around 23–24°C reduce the likelihood of deeper drops below 74°F. Minor variations in wind mixing, exact minimum timing, or localized urban effects could shift the recorded low across adjacent bins, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 68–77°F as models show limited divergence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$108Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate Austin overnight lows on August 30 will settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that limit radiative cooling. Historical August 30 averages near 72°F provide context, yet this season’s elevated baseline temperatures and dew points around 23–24°C reduce the likelihood of deeper drops below 74°F. Minor variations in wind mixing, exact minimum timing, or localized urban effects could shift the recorded low across adjacent bins, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 68–77°F as models show limited divergence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate Austin overnight lows on August 30 will settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that limit radiative cooling. Historical August 30 averages near 72°F provide context, yet this season’s elevated baseline temperatures and dew points around 23–24°C reduce the likelihood of deeper drops below 74°F. Minor variations in wind mixing, exact minimum timing, or localized urban effects could shift the recorded low across adjacent bins, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 68–77°F as models show limited divergence ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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