Current forecasts from MetService and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 30 most likely between 9–11 °C under clear skies and strong northwesterlies. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while wind mixing limits extreme drops, consistent with late-winter climatology showing typical minima near 8–10 °C. Slight spreads across numerical models arise from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of wind gusts, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact low recorded at the official station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 39%
11°C 30%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
5%
7°C
39%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 39%
11°C 30%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$10 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$5 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 30 most likely between 9–11 °C under clear skies and strong northwesterlies. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while wind mixing limits extreme drops, consistent with late-winter climatology showing typical minima near 8–10 °C. Slight spreads across numerical models arise from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of wind gusts, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact low recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$175Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 30 most likely between 9–11 °C under clear skies and strong northwesterlies. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while wind mixing limits extreme drops, consistent with late-winter climatology showing typical minima near 8–10 °C. Slight spreads across numerical models arise from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of wind gusts, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact low recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 30 most likely between 9–11 °C under clear skies and strong northwesterlies. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while wind mixing limits extreme drops, consistent with late-winter climatology showing typical minima near 8–10 °C. Slight spreads across numerical models arise from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of wind gusts, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact low recorded at the official station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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