Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila will remain under southwest monsoon influence on September 1, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity expected to limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures. Historical September averages near 31°C, combined with current model consensus projecting daytime highs of 29–31°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall or breaks in cloud cover, which can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Official monitoring updates closer to the date will provide the clearest guidance for traders assessing these narrow thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 1?
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
25%
34°C
20%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$31 Vol.
3%
30°C
$33 Vol.
15%
31°C
$41 Vol.
29%
32°C
$59 Vol.
38%
33°C
$0 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
20%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila will remain under southwest monsoon influence on September 1, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity expected to limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures. Historical September averages near 31°C, combined with current model consensus projecting daytime highs of 29–31°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall or breaks in cloud cover, which can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Official monitoring updates closer to the date will provide the clearest guidance for traders assessing these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$508Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila will remain under southwest monsoon influence on September 1, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity expected to limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures. Historical September averages near 31°C, combined with current model consensus projecting daytime highs of 29–31°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall or breaks in cloud cover, which can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Official monitoring updates closer to the date will provide the clearest guidance for traders assessing these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$508Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila will remain under southwest monsoon influence on September 1, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity expected to limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures. Historical September averages near 31°C, combined with current model consensus projecting daytime highs of 29–31°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall or breaks in cloud cover, which can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Official monitoring updates closer to the date will provide the clearest guidance for traders assessing these narrow thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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