Trader sentiment for Manila's September 1 minimum temperature shows near-even odds on extremes (22°C or below versus 32°C or higher) due to substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in a tropical setting. Variable southwest monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and convective activity create divergent model outcomes: clearer, drier conditions enable stronger nighttime radiative cooling and lower readings, while high humidity and lingering showers suppress cooling and elevate minimums. Sea-surface temperatures and steering winds add further variability. PAGASA and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours should narrow the range as landfall or outflow patterns become clearer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 1?
22°C or below 99%
32°C or higher 99%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
99%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
48%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
99%
22°C or below 99%
32°C or higher 99%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
99%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
48%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's September 1 minimum temperature shows near-even odds on extremes (22°C or below versus 32°C or higher) due to substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in a tropical setting. Variable southwest monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and convective activity create divergent model outcomes: clearer, drier conditions enable stronger nighttime radiative cooling and lower readings, while high humidity and lingering showers suppress cooling and elevate minimums. Sea-surface temperatures and steering winds add further variability. PAGASA and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours should narrow the range as landfall or outflow patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's September 1 minimum temperature shows near-even odds on extremes (22°C or below versus 32°C or higher) due to substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in a tropical setting. Variable southwest monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and convective activity create divergent model outcomes: clearer, drier conditions enable stronger nighttime radiative cooling and lower readings, while high humidity and lingering showers suppress cooling and elevate minimums. Sea-surface temperatures and steering winds add further variability. PAGASA and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours should narrow the range as landfall or outflow patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Manila's September 1 minimum temperature shows near-even odds on extremes (22°C or below versus 32°C or higher) due to substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in a tropical setting. Variable southwest monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and convective activity create divergent model outcomes: clearer, drier conditions enable stronger nighttime radiative cooling and lower readings, while high humidity and lingering showers suppress cooling and elevate minimums. Sea-surface temperatures and steering winds add further variability. PAGASA and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours should narrow the range as landfall or outflow patterns become clearer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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