Recent numerical weather prediction models for Shenzhen on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome, reflecting moderate subtropical high influence and residual monsoon moisture that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 29–33°C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (often above 70%) acting as primary moderators that cap peaks below seasonal norms in some runs while allowing brief clear intervals to push readings higher in others. This tight distribution explains the market's leading probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, as traders weigh official agency outputs against local variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model cycles in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
7%
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$2 Vol.
12%
30°C
$200 Vol.
19%
31°C
$210 Vol.
36%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models for Shenzhen on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome, reflecting moderate subtropical high influence and residual monsoon moisture that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 29–33°C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (often above 70%) acting as primary moderators that cap peaks below seasonal norms in some runs while allowing brief clear intervals to push readings higher in others. This tight distribution explains the market's leading probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, as traders weigh official agency outputs against local variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model cycles in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$412Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models for Shenzhen on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome, reflecting moderate subtropical high influence and residual monsoon moisture that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 29–33°C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (often above 70%) acting as primary moderators that cap peaks below seasonal norms in some runs while allowing brief clear intervals to push readings higher in others. This tight distribution explains the market's leading probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, as traders weigh official agency outputs against local variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model cycles in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$412Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models for Shenzhen on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome, reflecting moderate subtropical high influence and residual monsoon moisture that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 29–33°C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (often above 70%) acting as primary moderators that cap peaks below seasonal norms in some runs while allowing brief clear intervals to push readings higher in others. This tight distribution explains the market's leading probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, as traders weigh official agency outputs against local variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model cycles in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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