Recent weather models for Chengdu on September 1 point to daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass over the Sichuan basin before seasonal cooling accelerates. Late-August observations of 33–35°C highs, combined with limited cloud cover and light winds, support elevated readings near 34–35°C, while forecasts of patchy haze or light rain introduce downward pressure toward 33°C. Key variables include basin topography trapping heat, humidity moderating peak temperatures, and the timing of any increased cloudiness or precipitation that could suppress maxima. Historical early-September averages near 28–29°C provide context, but current conditions favor outcomes above the long-term mean, with market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty from forecast spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
34°C 29%
35°C 24%
33°C 17%
38°C or higher 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
17%
34°C
29%
35°C
24%
36°C
12%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
14%
34°C 29%
35°C 24%
33°C 17%
38°C or higher 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$10 Vol.
2%
32°C
$20 Vol.
9%
33°C
$0 Vol.
17%
34°C
$9 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
24%
36°C
$5 Vol.
12%
37°C
$22 Vol.
6%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models for Chengdu on September 1 point to daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass over the Sichuan basin before seasonal cooling accelerates. Late-August observations of 33–35°C highs, combined with limited cloud cover and light winds, support elevated readings near 34–35°C, while forecasts of patchy haze or light rain introduce downward pressure toward 33°C. Key variables include basin topography trapping heat, humidity moderating peak temperatures, and the timing of any increased cloudiness or precipitation that could suppress maxima. Historical early-September averages near 28–29°C provide context, but current conditions favor outcomes above the long-term mean, with market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty from forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$66Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models for Chengdu on September 1 point to daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass over the Sichuan basin before seasonal cooling accelerates. Late-August observations of 33–35°C highs, combined with limited cloud cover and light winds, support elevated readings near 34–35°C, while forecasts of patchy haze or light rain introduce downward pressure toward 33°C. Key variables include basin topography trapping heat, humidity moderating peak temperatures, and the timing of any increased cloudiness or precipitation that could suppress maxima. Historical early-September averages near 28–29°C provide context, but current conditions favor outcomes above the long-term mean, with market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty from forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models for Chengdu on September 1 point to daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass over the Sichuan basin before seasonal cooling accelerates. Late-August observations of 33–35°C highs, combined with limited cloud cover and light winds, support elevated readings near 34–35°C, while forecasts of patchy haze or light rain introduce downward pressure toward 33°C. Key variables include basin topography trapping heat, humidity moderating peak temperatures, and the timing of any increased cloudiness or precipitation that could suppress maxima. Historical early-September averages near 28–29°C provide context, but current conditions favor outcomes above the long-term mean, with market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty from forecast spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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