Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a peak daytime high near 33–34°C in Busan on July 24, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge delivering clear morning skies and light winds before afternoon monsoon moisture triggers scattered thunderstorms. Coastal sea breezes from the East Sea typically moderate extremes by 1–2°C compared with inland areas, while high humidity and urban heat island effects in the city center can push observed maxima higher if cloud cover remains limited. Model spread on precipitation timing and wind shifts creates the tight clustering around 33–35°C outcomes, with traders weighing historical July averages near 29°C against the current ridge’s influence and potential cooling from any early rain. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.