Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over London for July 24, with clear-sky potential allowing lows to dip toward or below 13°C while cloud cover or residual warmth from recent heatwave dissipation could hold them near 16–17°C. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 13°C or below (46.5%) and the 15–17°C range (35–37%), reflecting genuine variability in boundary-layer conditions and wind patterns rather than strong consensus. Historical July climatology places average London lows near 14–15°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability (under 2%) to outcomes above 20°C. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift resolution thresholds tied to official minimum temperature readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on July 24?
Lowest temperature in London on July 24?
13°C or below 54%
18°C 32%
17°C 31%
16°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Jul 24, 2026
13°C or below
54%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
18%
17°C
31%
18°C
23%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
13°C or below 54%
18°C 32%
17°C 31%
16°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Jul 24, 2026
13°C or below
$37 Vol.
54%
14°C
$28 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
11%
16°C
$4 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$13 Vol.
23%
19°C
$1 Vol.
14%
20°C
$37 Vol.
15%
21°C
$32 Vol.
1%
22°C
$32 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$132 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over London for July 24, with clear-sky potential allowing lows to dip toward or below 13°C while cloud cover or residual warmth from recent heatwave dissipation could hold them near 16–17°C. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 13°C or below (46.5%) and the 15–17°C range (35–37%), reflecting genuine variability in boundary-layer conditions and wind patterns rather than strong consensus. Historical July climatology places average London lows near 14–15°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability (under 2%) to outcomes above 20°C. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift resolution thresholds tied to official minimum temperature readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$219Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over London for July 24, with clear-sky potential allowing lows to dip toward or below 13°C while cloud cover or residual warmth from recent heatwave dissipation could hold them near 16–17°C. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 13°C or below (46.5%) and the 15–17°C range (35–37%), reflecting genuine variability in boundary-layer conditions and wind patterns rather than strong consensus. Historical July climatology places average London lows near 14–15°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability (under 2%) to outcomes above 20°C. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift resolution thresholds tied to official minimum temperature readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$219Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over London for July 24, with clear-sky potential allowing lows to dip toward or below 13°C while cloud cover or residual warmth from recent heatwave dissipation could hold them near 16–17°C. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 13°C or below (46.5%) and the 15–17°C range (35–37%), reflecting genuine variability in boundary-layer conditions and wind patterns rather than strong consensus. Historical July climatology places average London lows near 14–15°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability (under 2%) to outcomes above 20°C. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift resolution thresholds tied to official minimum temperature readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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