Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a June 30 peak of 28°C (25%) or 30°C-plus (21%) because short-range ensemble forecasts place Chengdu’s maximum near the late-June climatological mean of 28–30°C, with modest upside risk from daytime heating under variable cloud cover. The Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime, modulated by the East Asian monsoon, produces frequent afternoon thundershowers that can cap temperatures or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation; current model runs show limited consensus on exact cloud and precipitation timing two days out, widening the distribution across the 26–30°C bins. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market using the daily maximum at the Chengdu station, where even small shifts in steering flow or moisture can swing the outcome by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 30?
30°C or higher 50%
29°C 21%
28°C 16%
27°C 12%
BARU
$38,145 Vol.
BARU
$38,145 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
16%
29°C
21%
30°C or higher
50%
30°C or higher 50%
29°C 21%
28°C 16%
27°C 12%
BARU
$38,145 Vol.
BARU
$38,145 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
20°C or below
$17,772 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$679 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,039 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$785 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,716 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,857 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,277 Vol.
2%
27°C
$4,380 Vol.
12%
28°C
$2,511 Vol.
16%
29°C
$2,083 Vol.
21%
30°C or higher
$2,047 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a June 30 peak of 28°C (25%) or 30°C-plus (21%) because short-range ensemble forecasts place Chengdu’s maximum near the late-June climatological mean of 28–30°C, with modest upside risk from daytime heating under variable cloud cover. The Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime, modulated by the East Asian monsoon, produces frequent afternoon thundershowers that can cap temperatures or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation; current model runs show limited consensus on exact cloud and precipitation timing two days out, widening the distribution across the 26–30°C bins. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market using the daily maximum at the Chengdu station, where even small shifts in steering flow or moisture can swing the outcome by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$38,145Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a June 30 peak of 28°C (25%) or 30°C-plus (21%) because short-range ensemble forecasts place Chengdu’s maximum near the late-June climatological mean of 28–30°C, with modest upside risk from daytime heating under variable cloud cover. The Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime, modulated by the East Asian monsoon, produces frequent afternoon thundershowers that can cap temperatures or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation; current model runs show limited consensus on exact cloud and precipitation timing two days out, widening the distribution across the 26–30°C bins. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market using the daily maximum at the Chengdu station, where even small shifts in steering flow or moisture can swing the outcome by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,145Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a June 30 peak of 28°C (25%) or 30°C-plus (21%) because short-range ensemble forecasts place Chengdu’s maximum near the late-June climatological mean of 28–30°C, with modest upside risk from daytime heating under variable cloud cover. The Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime, modulated by the East Asian monsoon, produces frequent afternoon thundershowers that can cap temperatures or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation; current model runs show limited consensus on exact cloud and precipitation timing two days out, widening the distribution across the 26–30°C bins. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market using the daily maximum at the Chengdu station, where even small shifts in steering flow or moisture can swing the outcome by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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