Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on June 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 28?
34°C 39%
35°C 35%
36°C 15%
33°C 10.5%
BARU
$17,048 Vol.
BARU
$17,048 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
32°C or below
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
39%
35°C
35%
36°C
15%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 35%
36°C 15%
33°C 10.5%
BARU
$17,048 Vol.
BARU
$17,048 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
32°C or below
$624 Vol.
3%
33°C
$935 Vol.
11%
34°C
$1,335 Vol.
39%
35°C
$2,173 Vol.
35%
36°C
$7,881 Vol.
15%
37°C
$1,195 Vol.
1%
38°C
$1,355 Vol.
1%
39°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$511 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$259 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$17,048Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,048Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan