**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C. Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on June 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 27?
11°C 63%
12°C 39%
15°C or higher <1%
13°C <1%
BARU
$50,674 Vol.
BARU
$50,674 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
63%
12°C
39%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 63%
12°C 39%
15°C or higher <1%
13°C <1%
BARU
$50,674 Vol.
BARU
$50,674 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
5°C or below
$2,910 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$2,632 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,189 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,676 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$14,260 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$8,176 Vol.
63%
12°C
$8,474 Vol.
39%
13°C
$5,624 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,065 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$2,372 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C.
Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$50,674Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C.
Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,674Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C. Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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