Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 85°F, with southerly flow and elevated dew points likely pushing readings into the low-to-mid 90s. The tight clustering between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F buckets reflects modest forecast spread in maximum temperature timing and any afternoon mixing or thin cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1–2°F. Recent above-average warmth across the Midwest has reinforced trader conviction for an above-normal outcome, while historical July variability and the inherent 1–3°F uncertainty range in 24-hour convective forecasts keep the two leading bins nearly even.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on July 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 13?
92-93°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$32,996 Vol.
$32,996 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$32,996 Vol.
$32,996 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
89°F or below
$9,567 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,240 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,644 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$5,512 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,203 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,126 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,362 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$354 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$292 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$391 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 85°F, with southerly flow and elevated dew points likely pushing readings into the low-to-mid 90s. The tight clustering between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F buckets reflects modest forecast spread in maximum temperature timing and any afternoon mixing or thin cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1–2°F. Recent above-average warmth across the Midwest has reinforced trader conviction for an above-normal outcome, while historical July variability and the inherent 1–3°F uncertainty range in 24-hour convective forecasts keep the two leading bins nearly even.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$32,996Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 85°F, with southerly flow and elevated dew points likely pushing readings into the low-to-mid 90s. The tight clustering between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F buckets reflects modest forecast spread in maximum temperature timing and any afternoon mixing or thin cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1–2°F. Recent above-average warmth across the Midwest has reinforced trader conviction for an above-normal outcome, while historical July variability and the inherent 1–3°F uncertainty range in 24-hour convective forecasts keep the two leading bins nearly even.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,996Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 85°F, with southerly flow and elevated dew points likely pushing readings into the low-to-mid 90s. The tight clustering between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F buckets reflects modest forecast spread in maximum temperature timing and any afternoon mixing or thin cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1–2°F. Recent above-average warmth across the Midwest has reinforced trader conviction for an above-normal outcome, while historical July variability and the inherent 1–3°F uncertainty range in 24-hour convective forecasts keep the two leading bins nearly even.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan