Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on July 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 14?
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 9%
BARU
$13,412 Vol.
BARU
$13,412 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
93°F or below
2%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 9%
BARU
$13,412 Vol.
BARU
$13,412 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
93°F or below
$4,631 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$1,654 Vol.
21%
96-97°F
$1,327 Vol.
45%
98-99°F
$1,187 Vol.
28%
100-101°F
$1,015 Vol.
9%
102-103°F
$1,192 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$420 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$441 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$155 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$192 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$13,412Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,412Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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