Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on July 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 15?
36°C 36%
37°C 25%
35°C 18%
38°C 11.5%
BARU
BARU
Jul 15, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
18%
36°C
36%
37°C
25%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
37°C 25%
35°C 18%
38°C 11.5%
BARU
BARU
Jul 15, 2026
31°C or below
$786 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$192 Vol.
1%
33°C
$429 Vol.
1%
34°C
$461 Vol.
6%
35°C
$906 Vol.
18%
36°C
$379 Vol.
36%
37°C
$218 Vol.
25%
38°C
$197 Vol.
12%
39°C
$378 Vol.
3%
40°C
$308 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$621 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,875Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,875Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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