Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 15?
28°C 41%
27°C 30%
29°C 17%
26°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Jul 15, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
12%
27°C
30%
28°C
41%
29°C
17%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
27°C 30%
29°C 17%
26°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Jul 15, 2026
24°C or below
$739 Vol.
1%
25°C
$770 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,255 Vol.
12%
27°C
$520 Vol.
30%
28°C
$1,573 Vol.
41%
29°C
$238 Vol.
17%
30°C
$514 Vol.
1%
31°C
$255 Vol.
1%
32°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,660Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,660Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan