Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent overcast skies and heavy rainfall across Chongqing on June 18, limiting solar insolation and daytime heating in the city's subtropical basin setting. This setup favors maximum temperatures at or below 24°C through evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability for 23°C or lower. Recent ensemble runs show increased precipitation chances and modest northerly flow, tempering typical June highs near 29–31°C. Thunderstorm timing and exact cloud persistence remain key variables that could shift outcomes slightly higher if clearing occurs earlier than projected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 18?
23°C or below 53%
24°C 26%
25°C 16%
26°C 6.2%
$33,975 Vol.
$33,975 Vol.
23°C or below
53%
24°C
26%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 53%
24°C 26%
25°C 16%
26°C 6.2%
$33,975 Vol.
$33,975 Vol.
23°C or below
53%
24°C
26%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent overcast skies and heavy rainfall across Chongqing on June 18, limiting solar insolation and daytime heating in the city's subtropical basin setting. This setup favors maximum temperatures at or below 24°C through evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming, aligning with the market's 52.5% implied probability for 23°C or lower. Recent ensemble runs show increased precipitation chances and modest northerly flow, tempering typical June highs near 29–31°C. Thunderstorm timing and exact cloud persistence remain key variables that could shift outcomes slightly higher if clearing occurs earlier than projected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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