Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on July 29?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 29?
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$28,623 Vol.
$28,623 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$28,623 Vol.
$28,623 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
89°F or below
$773 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$888 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,336 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$12,571 Vol.
100%
96-97°F
$4,617 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,262 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$1,197 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$538 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$472 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$358 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$28,623Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,623Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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