Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 18, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with 20-30% rain chance, consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon that typically brings increased cloud cover and humidity moderating peak temperatures in the tropical lowlands. Trader consensus favoring 35°C or 36°C likely reflects historical June variability, where brief clear periods or localized heating can push maxima 2-3°C above guidance, alongside model uncertainty in steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures sustaining the warm baseline. Official outlooks emphasize low wind shear and typical wet-season suppression of extremes, yet the skin-in-the-game market assigns only modest weight to sub-34°C outcomes given recent observations of occasional spikes above climatological averages around 32°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings ahead of resolution will clarify whether monsoon strengthening or clearer conditions prevail.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on June 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 18?
35°C 41%
36°C 29%
34°C 15%
37°C 11.5%
BARU
$11,484 Vol.
BARU
$11,484 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
15%
35°C
41%
36°C
29%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 29%
34°C 15%
37°C 11.5%
BARU
$11,484 Vol.
BARU
$11,484 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
30°C or below
$207 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,669 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,514 Vol.
6%
34°C
$2,354 Vol.
15%
35°C
$1,023 Vol.
41%
36°C
$1,068 Vol.
29%
37°C
$1,172 Vol.
12%
38°C
$492 Vol.
1%
39°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 18, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with 20-30% rain chance, consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon that typically brings increased cloud cover and humidity moderating peak temperatures in the tropical lowlands. Trader consensus favoring 35°C or 36°C likely reflects historical June variability, where brief clear periods or localized heating can push maxima 2-3°C above guidance, alongside model uncertainty in steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures sustaining the warm baseline. Official outlooks emphasize low wind shear and typical wet-season suppression of extremes, yet the skin-in-the-game market assigns only modest weight to sub-34°C outcomes given recent observations of occasional spikes above climatological averages around 32°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings ahead of resolution will clarify whether monsoon strengthening or clearer conditions prevail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$11,484Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 18, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with 20-30% rain chance, consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon that typically brings increased cloud cover and humidity moderating peak temperatures in the tropical lowlands. Trader consensus favoring 35°C or 36°C likely reflects historical June variability, where brief clear periods or localized heating can push maxima 2-3°C above guidance, alongside model uncertainty in steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures sustaining the warm baseline. Official outlooks emphasize low wind shear and typical wet-season suppression of extremes, yet the skin-in-the-game market assigns only modest weight to sub-34°C outcomes given recent observations of occasional spikes above climatological averages around 32°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings ahead of resolution will clarify whether monsoon strengthening or clearer conditions prevail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,484Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 18, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with 20-30% rain chance, consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon that typically brings increased cloud cover and humidity moderating peak temperatures in the tropical lowlands. Trader consensus favoring 35°C or 36°C likely reflects historical June variability, where brief clear periods or localized heating can push maxima 2-3°C above guidance, alongside model uncertainty in steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures sustaining the warm baseline. Official outlooks emphasize low wind shear and typical wet-season suppression of extremes, yet the skin-in-the-game market assigns only modest weight to sub-34°C outcomes given recent observations of occasional spikes above climatological averages around 32°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings ahead of resolution will clarify whether monsoon strengthening or clearer conditions prevail.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan