Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasting 26–29°C highs and 100% rain probability for Metro Manila on September 6 amid heavy to intense showers. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation suppress daytime heating relative to the seasonal average near 31°C, while moderate-to-strong westerly winds enhance mixing and limit peaks. Recent red and orange rainfall warnings in adjacent Luzon provinces confirm saturated conditions that further moderate temperatures. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes; any brief clearing could allow a 31°C spike, but model consensus points to sustained monsoon suppression through the weekend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 6?
30°C 42%
29°C 24%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
42%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 42%
29°C 24%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
$510 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
4%
28°C
$243 Vol.
7%
29°C
$366 Vol.
24%
30°C
$489 Vol.
42%
31°C
$522 Vol.
20%
32°C
$53 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$55 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasting 26–29°C highs and 100% rain probability for Metro Manila on September 6 amid heavy to intense showers. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation suppress daytime heating relative to the seasonal average near 31°C, while moderate-to-strong westerly winds enhance mixing and limit peaks. Recent red and orange rainfall warnings in adjacent Luzon provinces confirm saturated conditions that further moderate temperatures. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes; any brief clearing could allow a 31°C spike, but model consensus points to sustained monsoon suppression through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$3,489Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasting 26–29°C highs and 100% rain probability for Metro Manila on September 6 amid heavy to intense showers. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation suppress daytime heating relative to the seasonal average near 31°C, while moderate-to-strong westerly winds enhance mixing and limit peaks. Recent red and orange rainfall warnings in adjacent Luzon provinces confirm saturated conditions that further moderate temperatures. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes; any brief clearing could allow a 31°C spike, but model consensus points to sustained monsoon suppression through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,489Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasting 26–29°C highs and 100% rain probability for Metro Manila on September 6 amid heavy to intense showers. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation suppress daytime heating relative to the seasonal average near 31°C, while moderate-to-strong westerly winds enhance mixing and limit peaks. Recent red and orange rainfall warnings in adjacent Luzon provinces confirm saturated conditions that further moderate temperatures. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes; any brief clearing could allow a 31°C spike, but model consensus points to sustained monsoon suppression through the weekend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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