Trader consensus centers on a 90-91°F high in Miami on September 6, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and model runs showing subtropical high pressure maintaining warm, humid air with dew points near 75°F. Afternoon sea-breeze timing and limited cloud cover support peak readings in this narrow band, consistent with late-summer climatology where Miami averages 89-91°F. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF exhibits tight clustering around these values, with minimal spread from steering patterns or moisture advection. Minor upside risk to 92-93°F exists if insolation exceeds expectations, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability absent an unexpected frontal passage or increased convection.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on September 6?
90-91°F 51%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 4%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 51%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 4%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 90-91°F high in Miami on September 6, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and model runs showing subtropical high pressure maintaining warm, humid air with dew points near 75°F. Afternoon sea-breeze timing and limited cloud cover support peak readings in this narrow band, consistent with late-summer climatology where Miami averages 89-91°F. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF exhibits tight clustering around these values, with minimal spread from steering patterns or moisture advection. Minor upside risk to 92-93°F exists if insolation exceeds expectations, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability absent an unexpected frontal passage or increased convection.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan