Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 10?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 10?
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
29°C 21%
32°C 13%
BARU
$31,828 Vol.
BARU
$31,828 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
11%
29°C
21%
30°C
30%
31°C
28%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
29°C 21%
32°C 13%
BARU
$31,828 Vol.
BARU
$31,828 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
23°C or below
$1,785 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,651 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,688 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,625 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,979 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,098 Vol.
11%
29°C
$3,920 Vol.
21%
30°C
$2,330 Vol.
30%
31°C
$2,094 Vol.
28%
32°C
$2,032 Vol.
13%
33°C or higher
$2,676 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$31,828Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,828Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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