Recent forecast guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest warming trend for Qingdao on June 18 driven by a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula that could weaken typical Yellow Sea onshore flow and allow warmer, drier air advection from inland Shandong. This setup supports the market's leading implied probability for 31°C or higher (39.5%), while the combined weight on 29–30°C outcomes (53%) reflects model consensus hovering near or slightly above the June climatological average high of 25–28°C. Coastal moderation and possible cloud cover or light precipitation keep lower bins (28°C or below) at under 12% combined, though late updates to steering patterns or sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting near-term model runs and historical analogs of ridge-driven heat events in mid-June.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 18?
31°C or higher 40%
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C or higher
40%
31°C or higher 40%
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
21°C or below
$532 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$532 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$826 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,117 Vol.
1%
26°C
$703 Vol.
1%
27°C
$660 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,315 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1,307 Vol.
26%
30°C
$1,198 Vol.
28%
31°C or higher
$1,181 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest warming trend for Qingdao on June 18 driven by a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula that could weaken typical Yellow Sea onshore flow and allow warmer, drier air advection from inland Shandong. This setup supports the market's leading implied probability for 31°C or higher (39.5%), while the combined weight on 29–30°C outcomes (53%) reflects model consensus hovering near or slightly above the June climatological average high of 25–28°C. Coastal moderation and possible cloud cover or light precipitation keep lower bins (28°C or below) at under 12% combined, though late updates to steering patterns or sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting near-term model runs and historical analogs of ridge-driven heat events in mid-June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$9,750Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest warming trend for Qingdao on June 18 driven by a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula that could weaken typical Yellow Sea onshore flow and allow warmer, drier air advection from inland Shandong. This setup supports the market's leading implied probability for 31°C or higher (39.5%), while the combined weight on 29–30°C outcomes (53%) reflects model consensus hovering near or slightly above the June climatological average high of 25–28°C. Coastal moderation and possible cloud cover or light precipitation keep lower bins (28°C or below) at under 12% combined, though late updates to steering patterns or sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting near-term model runs and historical analogs of ridge-driven heat events in mid-June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,750Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest warming trend for Qingdao on June 18 driven by a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula that could weaken typical Yellow Sea onshore flow and allow warmer, drier air advection from inland Shandong. This setup supports the market's leading implied probability for 31°C or higher (39.5%), while the combined weight on 29–30°C outcomes (53%) reflects model consensus hovering near or slightly above the June climatological average high of 25–28°C. Coastal moderation and possible cloud cover or light precipitation keep lower bins (28°C or below) at under 12% combined, though late updates to steering patterns or sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting near-term model runs and historical analogs of ridge-driven heat events in mid-June.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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