Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 16?
28°C 33%
27°C 23%
29°C 22%
26°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
16%
27°C
23%
28°C
33%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
27°C 23%
29°C 22%
26°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$401 Vol.
1%
25°C
$709 Vol.
3%
26°C
$739 Vol.
16%
27°C
$3,285 Vol.
23%
28°C
$1,718 Vol.
33%
29°C
$487 Vol.
22%
30°C
$601 Vol.
5%
31°C
$138 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$8,515Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,515Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan