Seattle’s forecast for July 31 centers on a strong high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies and light northerly flow, with official NWS guidance calling for a high near 80°F. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable marine-layer influence and sea-breeze timing, keeping most solutions between 78–82°F and limiting upside risk above 85°F. This range aligns with late-July climatology (normal high ~76°F) and follows several consecutive above-average days without major heat advection from the interior. Traders therefore cluster probability on the 80–83°F bins while assigning lower weight to hotter or cooler outliers pending the next model update cycle.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on July 31?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 10%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 10%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seattle’s forecast for July 31 centers on a strong high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies and light northerly flow, with official NWS guidance calling for a high near 80°F. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable marine-layer influence and sea-breeze timing, keeping most solutions between 78–82°F and limiting upside risk above 85°F. This range aligns with late-July climatology (normal high ~76°F) and follows several consecutive above-average days without major heat advection from the interior. Traders therefore cluster probability on the 80–83°F bins while assigning lower weight to hotter or cooler outliers pending the next model update cycle.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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