Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 7?
35°C 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 13%
BARU
$14,147 Vol.
BARU
$14,147 Vol.
Jul 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
26%
35°C
28%
36°C
19%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 13%
BARU
$14,147 Vol.
BARU
$14,147 Vol.
Jul 7, 2026
29°C or below
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$583 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,772 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,336 Vol.
5%
33°C
$1,720 Vol.
13%
34°C
$1,530 Vol.
26%
35°C
$961 Vol.
28%
36°C
$978 Vol.
19%
37°C
$1,950 Vol.
5%
38°C
$1,426 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$798 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$14,147Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,147Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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