Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes at 32.5% and 26.5%. Light rain, drizzle, and overcast skies are expected to limit daytime heating and solar radiation, preventing stronger warming despite typical August climatology near 23°C. Westerly winds and modest humidity further support these moderate readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around this range. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either slight clearing or additional cloud cover as the key uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 17?
22°C 33%
23°C 28%
24°C 17%
21°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
33%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
1%
22°C 33%
23°C 28%
24°C 17%
21°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
$1,074 Vol.
10%
21°C
$291 Vol.
11%
22°C
$399 Vol.
33%
23°C
$174 Vol.
28%
24°C
$91 Vol.
17%
25°C
$241 Vol.
5%
26°C
$41 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$206 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes at 32.5% and 26.5%. Light rain, drizzle, and overcast skies are expected to limit daytime heating and solar radiation, preventing stronger warming despite typical August climatology near 23°C. Westerly winds and modest humidity further support these moderate readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around this range. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either slight clearing or additional cloud cover as the key uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$2,546Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes at 32.5% and 26.5%. Light rain, drizzle, and overcast skies are expected to limit daytime heating and solar radiation, preventing stronger warming despite typical August climatology near 23°C. Westerly winds and modest humidity further support these moderate readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around this range. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either slight clearing or additional cloud cover as the key uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,546Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes at 32.5% and 26.5%. Light rain, drizzle, and overcast skies are expected to limit daytime heating and solar radiation, preventing stronger warming despite typical August climatology near 23°C. Westerly winds and modest humidity further support these moderate readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around this range. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either slight clearing or additional cloud cover as the key uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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