Current numerical weather prediction models place Wuhan's June 27 maximum in the 32–34 °C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 20.5–24 % for those exact outcomes. This positioning stems from the typical late-June influence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the Yangtze valley, which supports gradual warming after an early heat episode across southern China that raised regional baselines in mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain modest because short-range guidance shows limited disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, though local haze and humidity could cap peaks near 33 °C. Traders therefore assign low weight to extremes below 31 °C or above 35 °C, reflecting climatological norms where daily highs average near 32 °C. Refined runs from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 27?
34°C 49%
33°C 32%
35°C 7.8%
32°C 7.7%
$25,603 Vol.
$25,603 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
8%
33°C
32%
34°C
51%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
33°C 32%
35°C 7.8%
32°C 7.7%
$25,603 Vol.
$25,603 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
27°C or below
$2,049 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$828 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,231 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,797 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,411 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,221 Vol.
8%
33°C
$2,787 Vol.
32%
34°C
$2,933 Vol.
51%
35°C
$2,122 Vol.
8%
36°C
$4,063 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$2,160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models place Wuhan's June 27 maximum in the 32–34 °C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 20.5–24 % for those exact outcomes. This positioning stems from the typical late-June influence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the Yangtze valley, which supports gradual warming after an early heat episode across southern China that raised regional baselines in mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain modest because short-range guidance shows limited disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, though local haze and humidity could cap peaks near 33 °C. Traders therefore assign low weight to extremes below 31 °C or above 35 °C, reflecting climatological norms where daily highs average near 32 °C. Refined runs from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$25,603Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models place Wuhan's June 27 maximum in the 32–34 °C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 20.5–24 % for those exact outcomes. This positioning stems from the typical late-June influence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the Yangtze valley, which supports gradual warming after an early heat episode across southern China that raised regional baselines in mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain modest because short-range guidance shows limited disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, though local haze and humidity could cap peaks near 33 °C. Traders therefore assign low weight to extremes below 31 °C or above 35 °C, reflecting climatological norms where daily highs average near 32 °C. Refined runs from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,603Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models place Wuhan's June 27 maximum in the 32–34 °C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 20.5–24 % for those exact outcomes. This positioning stems from the typical late-June influence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the Yangtze valley, which supports gradual warming after an early heat episode across southern China that raised regional baselines in mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain modest because short-range guidance shows limited disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, though local haze and humidity could cap peaks near 33 °C. Traders therefore assign low weight to extremes below 31 °C or above 35 °C, reflecting climatological norms where daily highs average near 32 °C. Refined runs from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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